{"id":1215,"date":"2011-11-20T03:09:29","date_gmt":"2011-11-20T03:09:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.renando.com\/blog\/?p=1215"},"modified":"2015-02-15T19:03:01","modified_gmt":"2015-02-15T19:03:01","slug":"seventy-percent-of-change-initiatives-fail-borrowing-tolstoy-questioning-definition-progress","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/2011\/11\/seventy-percent-of-change-initiatives-fail-borrowing-tolstoy-questioning-definition-progress\/","title":{"rendered":"Seventy percent of change initiatives fail: Borrowing Tolstoy to question our definition of progress"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Change failure rates appear to be unchanging. Perhaps we should not be looking at how we change, but focus on what we are changing towards in the first place.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-1217\" title=\"change initiative failure rates\" alt=\"change initiative failure rates\" src=\"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/11\/change-initiative-success_failure-011-1024x854.jpg\" width=\"710\" height=\"592\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Exploring failure<\/h2>\n<p>The seventy percent failure rate statistic is often referenced to material by <a title=\"Kotter: Leading Change\" href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Leading-Change-John-P-Kotter\/dp\/0875847471\" target=\"_blank\">Kotter in the early-90s<\/a>. The exact research behind the number is difficult to trace, but the general trend appears to be consistent with current studies:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Only thirty percent of 1,546 executives rate their change initiative successful (<a title=\"The Inconvenient Truth About Change Management\" href=\"http:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/App_Media\/Reports\/Financial_Services\/The_Inconvenient_Truth_About_Change_Management.pdf \" target=\"_blank\">Keller &amp; Aiken, 2008<\/a>).<\/li>\n<li>Research into isolated business aspects reflect similar outcomes, with an eighty-eight percent of IT projects failing to be delivered on time and on budget (<a title=\"CHAOS Summary 2009\" href=\"http:\/\/www1.standishgroup.com\/newsroom\/chaos_2009.php\" target=\"_blank\">The Standish Group, 2009<\/a>).<\/li>\n<li>Seventy percent of mergers and acquisitions failing to achieve desired outcomes (<a title=\"Cultural conflict and merger failure: An experimental approach\" href=\"http:\/\/www.hss.caltech.edu\/~camerer\/mgtsci03.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">Weber &amp; Camerer, 2003<\/a>).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>If the clich\u00e9 of \u201cchange is a constant\u201d is true, then the above findings indicate that change failure is also constant.\u00a0 This failure is profitable from some, evidenced by over 7,900 books retuned with a <a title=\"Amazon search\" href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/s\/ref=nb_sb_noss?url=search-alias%3Dstripbooks&amp;field-keywords=organisational+change&amp;x=0&amp;y=0\" target=\"_blank\">search for \u201corganisational change\u201d on amazon.com<\/a> and an Australian AU$8 billion consulting industry that experiences consistent 2.1 percent growth (<a title=\"Management Consultants in Australia: Market Research Report\" href=\"http:\/\/www.ibisworld.com.au\/industry\/default.aspx?indid=1896 \" target=\"_blank\">IBISWorld, 2011<\/a>).\u00a0 We as the collective commercial collaboration of market forces appear to be taking the same approach to change and getting the same results.<\/p>\n<p>Frameworks by authors such as Collins and Peters are based on companies that go from \u201c<a title=\"Jim Collins: Good to Great\" href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Good-Great-Companies-Leap-Others\/dp\/0066620996\/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1321775405&amp;sr=8-1\" target=\"_blank\">good to great<\/a>\u201d or have \u201c<a title=\"Waterman and Peters: In Search for Excellence\" href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Search-Excellence-Waterman-Robert-Peters\/dp\/0446382825\/ref=sr_1_2?s=books&amp;ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1321775452&amp;sr=1-2\" target=\"_blank\">excellence<\/a>\u201d.\u00a0 Consulting and academic industries are cannibalistic, with critics of such approaches putting pen to paper as soon as the material is published and lie in wait for highlighted companies to no longer be <a title=\"Resnick &amp; Smunt, 2008: From Good to Great to...\" href=\"http:\/\/kimboal.ba.ttu.edu\/Readings%202008\/Rensnick%20and%20Smunt2008.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">great<\/a> or <a title=\"Collins, 2007: Narrating the Management Guru: In Search of Tom Peters\" href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Narrating-Management-Guru-Routledge-Advances\/dp\/0415416663\" target=\"_blank\">excellent<\/a>.\u00a0 Such failures spawn even more models of between <a title=\"Collins, 2009: How the mighty Fall\" href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/How-Mighty-Fall-Companies-Never\/dp\/0977326411\/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&amp;ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1321775946&amp;sr=1-1\" target=\"_blank\">5 steps<\/a> to <a title=\"Peters: Little Big Things: 163 ways to pursue excellence\" href=\"http:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Little-Big-Things-Pursue-EXCELLENCE\/dp\/B004E3XI6W\/ref=sr_1_sc_1?s=books&amp;ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1321775997&amp;sr=1-1-spell\" target=\"_blank\">163 points<\/a> for the weary organisational leader to supplement what previously did not work.<\/p>\n<p>The scenario above raises many questions. Are the volumes of collective change approaches inadequate? Are business leaders incompetent, ignorant, or wilfully not heeding the advice? Is there a conflict of interest in paid consultants and keynote-speaking academics both measuring failure rates and prescribing solutions?\u00a0 These questions are for a later post.<\/p>\n<p>The question I ask now is more esoteric.\u00a0 <strong><em>What if the issue is not the change process, but what we are changing towards?<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>Change ourselves to change our view of progress<\/h2>\n<p>The definition of success or failure is entirely relative to the one assessing the outcomes.\u00a0 Hitler\u2019s failure was a success for collective world powers.\u00a0 A successful rebrand of a large oil company could be seen as failure to environmentalists and a neutral outcome to consumers trapped in their over-reliance on fossil fuels.\u00a0 The failures of the global financial market are felt in corporate accountability and irresponsible consumers, but the failure could be seen as a success if viewed at a macro-level if it results in a realignment of market forces.<\/p>\n<p>The majority of change in organisations is towards the notion of progress.\u00a0 Progress is typically defined as growth, and this growth is generally characterised by increases in revenue, profit, staff count, geographic spread, and political influence.\u00a0 I am not the first to question the emphasis of our change initiatives.<\/p>\n<p>Tolstoy faced these same questions in the 1850s. At around the age I am now, Tolstoy observed an execution by guillotine when visiting France, observing \u201c<em>the sight of an execution [by guillotine] revealed to me the instability of my superstitious belief in progress<\/em>\u201d.\u00a0 To repeat a point by <a title=\"No Impact Man: What is true progress?\" href=\"http:\/\/noimpactman.typepad.com\/blog\/2009\/04\/what-is-progress.html\" target=\"_blank\">another blogger<\/a>, Tolstoy states \u201c<em>therefore the arbiter of what is good and evil is not what people say and do, nor is it progress, but it is my heart and I<\/em>\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Seventy percent failure rates seem shocking.\u00a0 History has done nothing to show me these will change.\u00a0 If we were to reassess the outcomes as measurements of the personal character of those involved in the change, I wonder if the measurement would be substantially higher.<\/p>\n<p>Borrowing Tolstoy, I become more convinced that change success or failure is measured not in the progress towards commercial outcomes but in the character of those involved in the change.\u00a0 To be blunt and avoid hiding behind academic observations, I acknowledge the responsibility for what it is I change towards is within \u201c<em>my heart and I<\/em>\u201d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Change failure rates appear to be unchanging. Perhaps we should not be looking at how we change, but focus on what we are changing towards&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/2011\/11\/seventy-percent-of-change-initiatives-fail-borrowing-tolstoy-questioning-definition-progress\/\" class=\"bwp-excerpt-more-link\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5435,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_s2mail":"","cybocfi_hide_featured_image":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[184],"tags":[29,201,99],"ecosystem_role":[],"class_list":["post-1215","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-about-organisations","tag-change-management","tag-leadership","tag-personal-development","bwp-masonry-item","bwp-col-3"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1215","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1215"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1215\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7100,"href":"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1215\/revisions\/7100"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5435"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1215"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1215"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1215"},{"taxonomy":"ecosystem_role","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sidewaysthoughts.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ecosystem_role?post=1215"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}